Will They, Won’t They on House Passage of an Updated One Big Beautiful Act

House Republicans and whether they have the political appetite to swallow the changes made by the Senate. The Senate version of the One Big Beautiful Bill, with changes to SALT, clean energy provisions, and the rural hospital fund, was necessary to make it through the Senate (which is expected but remains to be seen). However, the House, as demonstrated by the one-vote margin, has a very different idea of what should be included.

House Republicans, emboldened by their narrow majority and looming election-year scrutiny, will likely balk at anything that significantly changed from the House to the Senate. The House Freedom Caucus has already signaled it won’t rubber-stamp a “backroom Senate compromise,” especially if it preserves any of the IRA legacy spending or increases the deficit beyond the original bill.

House Republicans are already speaking out publicly that changed provisions are a non-starter, and that’s not including the Republicans voicing concerns to the Speaker behind closed doors. Speaker Johnson is saying that he will bring Members back to vote as soon as Monday, but that will take a lot of wrangling from Republican House leadership and President Trump to get House Republicans to stomach this new bill.